Publications/Outputs
Research Papers
Allen, J.I. (2010) Marine ecosystem response to multiple climatic and anthropogenic drivers: A modelling approach. Comparative Biochemistry and Physiology A-Molecular & Integrative Physiology 157, S1-S1.
Allison, E.H., M. Barange and N.K. Dulvy (2009). Sustaining fish supplies for food security in a changing climate. Climate Sense: a publication for the World Climate Conference. 3. Climate Prediction and information for decision making. Tudor House, UK. 59-62.
Allison, E., N.L. Andrew and J. Oliver (2007). Enhancing the resilience of inland fisheries and aquaculture systems to climate change. SAT eJournal 4(1). December 2007.
Allison, E. H., A. L. Perry, M.-C. Badjeck, W. N. Adger, K. Brown, D. Conway, A. S. Halls, G. M. Pilling, J. D. Reynolds, N. L. Andrew, and N. K. Dulvy. 2009 Climate change and fisheries: a comparative analysis of the relative vulnerability of 132 countries Fish and Fisheries 10:173-196.
Allison, E.H., M-C. Badjeck, and K. Meinhold (in press). The implications of climate change for molluscan aquaculture. In: S.E. Shumway (Ed.) Molluscan Shellfish Aquaculture and the Environment. NOAA/Wiley Interscience.
Allison, E H, Beveridge, M C M & van Brakel, M. (2009). Climate change, small-scale fisheries and smallholder aquaculture. In: M. Culberg (ed.). Fisheries, Sustainability and Development. Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry, Stockholm, Sweden, pp 109-122.
Badjeck, M.-C., E.H. Allison, A.S. Halls and N.K. Dulvy (2010). Impacts of climate variability and change on fishery-based livelihoods. Marine Policy, Volume 34, Issue 3, 375-383.
Badjeck, M-C and Diop, N. (Accepted). The Future is now: How scenarios can help Senegalese and Mauritanian fisheries adapt to climate change. Nature et Faune (FAO peer-reviewed open access bilingual journal on natural resources and food security in Africa) Badjeck, M-C, E.H Allison, A.S Halls and N.K Dulvy. 2010. Impacts of climate variability and change on fishery-based livelihoods. Marine Policy 34 (3): 357-383.
Barange, M., I. Allen, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, J. Blanchard, B. Drakeford, N.K. Dulvy, J.Harle, R, Holmes, J, Holt, S.Jennings, J. Lowe, G. Merino, C. Mullon, G.Pilling, E. Tompkins, F. Werner 2010. Predicting the impacts and socio-economic consequences of climate change on global marine ecosystems and fisheries: the QUEST_Fish framework. In: Ommer, R. et al., Coping with climate change in marine socio-ecological systems. Blackwell FAR Series, p. 31-59 (in press).
Barange, M., W. Cheung, G. Merino and R. I. Perry 2010. Modelling the potential impacts of climate change and human activities on the sustainability of marine resources Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 2(5-6): 326-333.
Barnes, C., D. Maxwell, D.C. Reuman and S. Jennings (2010). Global patterns in predator-prey size relationships reveal size dependency of trophic transfer efficiency. Ecology, 91:222–232. [doi:10.1890/08-2061.1]
Drakeford, B. and S. Pascoe (2008). Substitutability of fishmeal and fishoil in diets for salmon and trout: a meta-analysis. Aquaculture Economics and Management, 12: 155-175.
Dulvy, N.K, and E.H. Allison. 2009. A place at the table? Nature Reports Climate Change 3: 68-70.
Chassot, E., Bonhommeau, S., Dulvy, N.K., Mélin, F., Watson, R., Gascuel, D., Le Pape, O. (2010) Global marine primary production constrains fisheries catches. Ecology Letters, 13 (4), pp. 495-505
Dulvy, N.K., K. Hyde, J.J. Heymans, E. Chassot, T. Platt and K. Sherman (2009). Climate change, ecosystem variability and fisheries productivity. Remote Sensing in Fisheries and Aquaculture: The Societal Benefits (eds T. Platt, M.-H. Forget & V. Stuart). International Ocean-Colour Coordinating Group, Dartmouth, Canada (in press).
Dulvy, N., Reynolds, J., Pilling, M., Pinnegar J., and Scutt Phillips, J., Allison E-H and Badjeck M-C. (Forthecoming). The potential impacts of climate change on fisheries: implications for OECD and non-OECD countries. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris.
Merino, G., M. Barange and C. Mullon (2010). Climate change scenarios for a marine commodity: Modelling small pelagic fish, fisheries and fishmeal in a globalized market. J. Mar. Sys. Volume 81, Issues 1-2, 196-205.
Merino, G., M. Barange and C. Mullon (2010). Impacts of aquaculture expansion and environmental change on marine ecosystems. Global Environmental Change 20: 586-596.
Mullon, C., J.F. Mittaine, O. Thebaud, G. Peron, G. Merino and M. Barange (2009). Modelling the global fish meal and fish oil markets. Natural Resource Modelling, 22:564-609.
Jennings, S., F. Melin, J.L. Blanchard, R.M. Forster, N.K. Dulvy and R.W. Wilson (2008). Global-scale predictions of community and ecosystem properties from simple ecological theory. Proc. Roy. Soc. 275, 1375-1383.
Perry, R. I., R. E. Ommer, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, M. Barange, L. Hamilton, A. Jarre, R. Quiñones, and U. R. Sumaila. 2010. The human dimensions of marine ecosystem change: Interactions between changes in marine ecosystems and human communities. In M. Barange, J. Field, R. Harris, E. Hofmann, I. Perry, and C. Werner, editors. Global Change and Marine Ecosystems. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
Perry, R.I., M. Barange and R.E. Ommer 2010. Human dimensions of global environmental change in marine systems. Progress in Oceanography 87: 331-337.
Papers in preparation
Working Title: “QUESTFish: Downscaling a global climate simulation to the coastal and shelf seas. Part 1, model evaluation.”
Working Title: “QUESTFish: Downscaling a global climate simulation to the coastal and shelf seas. Part 2, benchmarking a Present Day control.”
Working Title: “QUESTFish: Downscaling a global climate simulation to the coastal and shelf seas. Part 3, climate sensitivity.” Badjeck M-C, et al. Vulnerability of the aquaculture sector to climate change in Vietnam: an indicator-based approach. To be submitted to Environmental Science and Policy.
Badjeck M-C et al. Fisheries management and adaptation to climate change in Peru: Scenarios as a creative solution to “wicked problems”. To be submitted to Ecology and Society.
Badjeck M-C et al. 2010. Looking ahead and adapting? Comparative analysis of future scenarios for the fisheries sectors in Peru, Senegal, Ghana and Mauritania. Journal t.b.d
Badjeck, M-C , et al. Dollars, Work and Food: Understanding dependency on the fisheries and aquaculture sector. To be submitted to Food Security.
Merino, G. et al. Trade offs between future ecosystems and the challenge of meeting food security targets for a growing population through aquaculture.
Barange M. et al., Climate Change impacts on marine fisheries production.
Conference presentations and posters:
Allen, J.I. 2010. Shelf Seas Ecosystems: Past , Present and Future states Invited Presentation. International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries:Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010.
Allison, E.H.2010. (Invited keynote speaker). Vulnerability of fishery systems and people to climate change: pathways of impact and adaptive response. Oceans and Climate Change – The scientific basis for meeting future challenges for coastal development and poverty reduction. Swedish International Development Agency Symposium, Stockholm, 12th October 2010
Allison, E.H. 2010. (Invited Keynote speaker) “ Drivers of change in fisheries: Climate in context” ICES/PICES International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries: Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies April 25 – 29, 2010 Sendai, Japan.
Allison, E.H. and Scholtens, J. 2010. (Invited workshop presentation) Social and economic indicators for ecosystem based fisheries management. IndiSeas II meetingUNESCO, Paris, France.29 November-2 December 2010.
Allison, E.H. 2009. (Invited Keynote presentation) “climate change impact on small scale fisheries”. 6th Scientific Symposium of the Western Indian Ocean Marine Science Association Université de La Réunion 24 - 29 August 2009.
Badjeck 2010. International Climate Change Adaptation Conference: Climate Adaptation Futures Preparing for the unavoidable impacts of climate change, June 2010. Brisbane, Australia. Oral
Badjeck M-C, Mendo T, Katikiro R, Flitner M., Diop N, Schwerdtner Máñez K, Arrieta Vela S.M. 2010. Looking ahead and adapting? Comparative analysis of future scenarios for the fisheries sectors in Peru, Senegal, Ghana and Mauritania. International Climate Change Adaptation Conference: Climate Adaptation Futures Preparing for the unavoidable impacts of climate change, 29 June - 1 July 2010 Brisbane, Australia.
Badjeck M-C and Mendo Aguilar Wosnitza T. 2010.Scenarios for the future: Drivers of change in the Peruvian fisheries sector. ICES/PICES International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries: Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies April 25 – 29, 2010 Sendai, Japan.
Barange, M., I.Allen, R. Holmes, G. Merino, J. Holt, J. Harle, N. Dulvy, J. Blanchard, S. Jennings, G. Pilling, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, B. Drakeford, C. Mullon, N. Adger 2008. Estimating climate change impacts on global fish production and additional vulnerabilities to human society. ICES 2008 ASC. Halifax, Canada. Invited Oral
Barange, M. 2008. Predicting the impacts and consequences of climate change on global fish production. QUEST ASC. Oral invited Barange, M. and the QUEST_Fish team 2008. Predicting the impacts and consequences of climate change on global fish production. International symposium “Coping with global change in marine social-ecological systems”. Rome, Italy. Oral
Barange, M., I. Allen, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, J. Blanchard, J. Harle, R. Holmes, J. Holt, S. Jennings, G. Merino, C. Mullon, E. Tompkins 2009. Predicting the impacts and socio-economic consequences of climate change on global marine ecosystems and fisheries: The QUEST_Fish approach. Workshop: Developing IMBER science in the UK. University of Plymouth, UK. Invited Oral
Barange, M., I Allen, R Holmes, G Merino, J Holt, J Harle, N Dulvy, J Blanchard, S Jennings, G Pilling, E Allison, M-C Badjeck, B Drakeford, C Mullon 2009. Predicting the impacts and consequences of climate change on global fish production: QUEST_Fish. FAO workshop on Climate Change. Rome, Italy. Oral
Barange, M., I. Allen, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, J. Blanchard, J. Harle, R. Holmes, J. Holt, S. Jennings, G. Merino, C. Mullon, E. Tompkins 2009. Predicting the impacts and socio-economic consequences of climate change on global marine ecosystems and fisheries: The QUEST_Fish approach. PICES XVIII, Jeju, Korea. Invited oral
Barange, M. 2009. Out to dry? Global sustainability and the future of fisheries. QUEST ASC. Cotswolds, UK. Inited oral
Barange, M. and the QUEST_Fish team 2010. The marine environment and the ecological consequences of a business-as-usual scenario. Workshop: Past carbon isotopic events and future ecologies. Royal Geological Society, London. Invited oral
Barange, M. 2010. Learning to swim: exploring the challenges to marine resource sustainability. Roger Revelle Memorial Lecture, IOC UNESCO General Assembly, July 2010. Invited Oral
Barange M. 2011. Predicting the impacts and socio-economic consequences of climate change on global marine ecosystems and fisheries NansCLIM workshop. Cape Town, South Africa. Invited Oral
Blanchard J.L., Dulvy N.K., Holmes R., Barange M. & Jennings S. 2010. Potential climate change impacts on fish production from 20 large marine ecosystems around the world (P1-D1-6275). International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries:Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010. Oral Presentation.
Blanchard J.L., Jennings S., Holmes R, Dulvy N.K. & Barange, M. 2010. Potential climate change impacts on 20 large marine ecosystems around the world. Organised Oral Session on “Food webs and Climate Change” (Organisers: Dr Andrew Beckerman, University of Sheffield and Prof Oswald Schmitz, Yale University) at the 95th Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting. Pittsburgh, USA, 1-6 Aug. 2010. Invited Talk
Blanchard, J.L. 2010 Size-based indicators: are they useful for conservation and management of marine ecosystems? Thematic Topic: “On the synthesis of size- and species- based approaches in community and ecosystem ecology” (Organised by Law R & Blanchard JL), British Ecological Society Annual Science Meeting, University of Leeds, UK, 7 - 9 September 2010. Oral
Blanchard JL , Cheung W, Jennings S, Barange M. 2011. Predicting effects of climate change on global fisheries from food web and biogeography perspectives. 4th International SIZEMIC Science Meeting. Hamburg Germany, 13-15 April 2011. Invited Talk.
Harle, J., Holt, J., Allen, J.I., Holmes, R., Barange, M. 2010. QUEST Fish: Potential climate change impacts on the coastal/shelf seas. Business as usual? AIMES Open Science Conference 10-13 May 2010 - Edinburgh, UK. Oral
Holmes, R., James Harle, Icarus Allen, Jason Holt and Manuel Barange 2010. Predicting impacts of climate change on primary production in coastal-ocean regions International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries:Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010. Oral
Holt, J. James Harle, Icarus Allen, Robert Holmes, Manuel Barange 2009. Climate change effects on primary production in coastal and shelf seas. Oral presentation, GLOBEC 3rd Open Science Meeting, Victoria, Canada, 22-26 June 2009. Oral
Holt, J., James Harle, Rob Holmes, J. Icarus Allen 2010. Potential climate change impacts on contrasting shelf sea regions: atmospheric and oceanic impacts vs. tidal and seasonal constraints. Oral Presentation. International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries: Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010. Oral
Merino, G. Manuel Barange, Christian Mullon 2008. Modelling climate change effects on a global marine commodity. AMEMR, Plymouth (UK). Oral
Merino, G., Manuel Barange, Christian Mullon, Lynda Rodwell 2009. Modelling the potential impacts of aquaculture expansion and climate fluctuations on global reduction fisheries and fishemeal markets. PMSP Symposium, Plymouth (UK).
Merino, G., Manuel Barange, Christian Mullon, Rob Holmes, Julia Blanchard, Simon Jennings and Lynda Rodwell 2010. Generating Global Environmental Change scenarios for the world's small pelagic fisheries and global fishmeal and oil markets. International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries: Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010. Oral
Scholtens, Joeri and Badjeck, M-C. 2010. Dollars, Work and Food: Understanding dependency on the fisheries and aquaculture sector. IIFET 2010: Economics of fish resources and aquatic ecosystems: balancing uses, balancing costs. Le Corum Montpellier, France July 13-16, 2010.
Reports
Badjeck Marie-Caroline; Katikiro, Robert E.; Flitner, Michael; Diop, Ndiaga; Schwerdtner Máñez, Kathleen. 2010. Envisioning 2050: Climate Change, Aquaculture and Fisheries in West Africa. WorldFish Center Workshop Report 2125. The WorldFish Center, Penang, Malaysia. 28 pp (also available in French).
Kam S.P, Badjeck M-C, Teh L., Teh L., Bé Năm V.T, Hiền T.T, Huệ N.T, Phillips M., Pomeroy R. , Sinh L.X (2010). Economics of adaptation to climate change in Vietnam’s aquaculture sector: A case study. Report to the World Bank.
Badjeck M-C, Perry A. and Renn S. 2009. Global vulnerability of fishing-dependent economies to disasters. Report of the FAO project “Guidelines and best practice for fisheries and aquaculture sector damage and needs assessments in emergencies and development of tools for the identification of areas vulnerable to fishery and aquaculture emergencies”. The WorldFish Center, Penang.
Macfadayen, G. and E.H.Allison (2009) Climate change and trade competitiveness in the fisheries sector of small developing Commonwealth states. Commonwealth Secretariat, London, 50 pp.
Training
Gorka Merino, Manuel Barange, Christian Mullon, Lynda Rodwell 2009. Small pelagic fisheries, ecosystems, fishmeal, fish-oil and aquaculture. Advanced course in economic and ecological modeling drawing on the theory of networks economics. Sete (France), 2009.
Manuel Barange, Gorka Merino and Christian Mullon 2009. The Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change in Marine Systems (and some examples). NCAR Summer School - Marine Ecosystems and Climate: Modeling and Analysis of Observed Variability. August 2-14, 2009.
Christian Mullon, Gorka Merino, Manuel Barange. A role playing game was developed to understand the difficulties of managing common renewable resources. In the game regional fish stocks are traded in a globalized market where consumers demand two marine commodities: fishmeal and fish oil. Players are assigned particular roles (scientific advice, conservationist roles, economic investors, government officials, etc.) and make decisions in the absence of full information according to their own objectives. Over time players observe the dynamics of the global resources and assess how close they are to their initial objectives. The game is accessible through www.pml-globalpelagic.org.uk, although a password is required so that runs are logged for further analysis.
Allen, J.I. (2010) Marine ecosystem response to multiple climatic and anthropogenic drivers: A modelling approach. Comparative Biochemistry and Physiology A-Molecular & Integrative Physiology 157, S1-S1.
Allison, E.H., M. Barange and N.K. Dulvy (2009). Sustaining fish supplies for food security in a changing climate. Climate Sense: a publication for the World Climate Conference. 3. Climate Prediction and information for decision making. Tudor House, UK. 59-62.
Allison, E., N.L. Andrew and J. Oliver (2007). Enhancing the resilience of inland fisheries and aquaculture systems to climate change. SAT eJournal 4(1). December 2007.
Allison, E. H., A. L. Perry, M.-C. Badjeck, W. N. Adger, K. Brown, D. Conway, A. S. Halls, G. M. Pilling, J. D. Reynolds, N. L. Andrew, and N. K. Dulvy. 2009 Climate change and fisheries: a comparative analysis of the relative vulnerability of 132 countries Fish and Fisheries 10:173-196.
Allison, E.H., M-C. Badjeck, and K. Meinhold (in press). The implications of climate change for molluscan aquaculture. In: S.E. Shumway (Ed.) Molluscan Shellfish Aquaculture and the Environment. NOAA/Wiley Interscience.
Allison, E H, Beveridge, M C M & van Brakel, M. (2009). Climate change, small-scale fisheries and smallholder aquaculture. In: M. Culberg (ed.). Fisheries, Sustainability and Development. Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry, Stockholm, Sweden, pp 109-122.
Badjeck, M.-C., E.H. Allison, A.S. Halls and N.K. Dulvy (2010). Impacts of climate variability and change on fishery-based livelihoods. Marine Policy, Volume 34, Issue 3, 375-383.
Badjeck, M-C and Diop, N. (Accepted). The Future is now: How scenarios can help Senegalese and Mauritanian fisheries adapt to climate change. Nature et Faune (FAO peer-reviewed open access bilingual journal on natural resources and food security in Africa) Badjeck, M-C, E.H Allison, A.S Halls and N.K Dulvy. 2010. Impacts of climate variability and change on fishery-based livelihoods. Marine Policy 34 (3): 357-383.
Barange, M., I. Allen, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, J. Blanchard, B. Drakeford, N.K. Dulvy, J.Harle, R, Holmes, J, Holt, S.Jennings, J. Lowe, G. Merino, C. Mullon, G.Pilling, E. Tompkins, F. Werner 2010. Predicting the impacts and socio-economic consequences of climate change on global marine ecosystems and fisheries: the QUEST_Fish framework. In: Ommer, R. et al., Coping with climate change in marine socio-ecological systems. Blackwell FAR Series, p. 31-59 (in press).
Barange, M., W. Cheung, G. Merino and R. I. Perry 2010. Modelling the potential impacts of climate change and human activities on the sustainability of marine resources Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 2(5-6): 326-333.
Barnes, C., D. Maxwell, D.C. Reuman and S. Jennings (2010). Global patterns in predator-prey size relationships reveal size dependency of trophic transfer efficiency. Ecology, 91:222–232. [doi:10.1890/08-2061.1]
Drakeford, B. and S. Pascoe (2008). Substitutability of fishmeal and fishoil in diets for salmon and trout: a meta-analysis. Aquaculture Economics and Management, 12: 155-175.
Dulvy, N.K, and E.H. Allison. 2009. A place at the table? Nature Reports Climate Change 3: 68-70.
Chassot, E., Bonhommeau, S., Dulvy, N.K., Mélin, F., Watson, R., Gascuel, D., Le Pape, O. (2010) Global marine primary production constrains fisheries catches. Ecology Letters, 13 (4), pp. 495-505
Dulvy, N.K., K. Hyde, J.J. Heymans, E. Chassot, T. Platt and K. Sherman (2009). Climate change, ecosystem variability and fisheries productivity. Remote Sensing in Fisheries and Aquaculture: The Societal Benefits (eds T. Platt, M.-H. Forget & V. Stuart). International Ocean-Colour Coordinating Group, Dartmouth, Canada (in press).
Dulvy, N., Reynolds, J., Pilling, M., Pinnegar J., and Scutt Phillips, J., Allison E-H and Badjeck M-C. (Forthecoming). The potential impacts of climate change on fisheries: implications for OECD and non-OECD countries. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris.
Merino, G., M. Barange and C. Mullon (2010). Climate change scenarios for a marine commodity: Modelling small pelagic fish, fisheries and fishmeal in a globalized market. J. Mar. Sys. Volume 81, Issues 1-2, 196-205.
Merino, G., M. Barange and C. Mullon (2010). Impacts of aquaculture expansion and environmental change on marine ecosystems. Global Environmental Change 20: 586-596.
Mullon, C., J.F. Mittaine, O. Thebaud, G. Peron, G. Merino and M. Barange (2009). Modelling the global fish meal and fish oil markets. Natural Resource Modelling, 22:564-609.
Jennings, S., F. Melin, J.L. Blanchard, R.M. Forster, N.K. Dulvy and R.W. Wilson (2008). Global-scale predictions of community and ecosystem properties from simple ecological theory. Proc. Roy. Soc. 275, 1375-1383.
Perry, R. I., R. E. Ommer, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, M. Barange, L. Hamilton, A. Jarre, R. Quiñones, and U. R. Sumaila. 2010. The human dimensions of marine ecosystem change: Interactions between changes in marine ecosystems and human communities. In M. Barange, J. Field, R. Harris, E. Hofmann, I. Perry, and C. Werner, editors. Global Change and Marine Ecosystems. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
Perry, R.I., M. Barange and R.E. Ommer 2010. Human dimensions of global environmental change in marine systems. Progress in Oceanography 87: 331-337.
Papers in preparation
Working Title: “QUESTFish: Downscaling a global climate simulation to the coastal and shelf seas. Part 1, model evaluation.”
Working Title: “QUESTFish: Downscaling a global climate simulation to the coastal and shelf seas. Part 2, benchmarking a Present Day control.”
Working Title: “QUESTFish: Downscaling a global climate simulation to the coastal and shelf seas. Part 3, climate sensitivity.” Badjeck M-C, et al. Vulnerability of the aquaculture sector to climate change in Vietnam: an indicator-based approach. To be submitted to Environmental Science and Policy.
Badjeck M-C et al. Fisheries management and adaptation to climate change in Peru: Scenarios as a creative solution to “wicked problems”. To be submitted to Ecology and Society.
Badjeck M-C et al. 2010. Looking ahead and adapting? Comparative analysis of future scenarios for the fisheries sectors in Peru, Senegal, Ghana and Mauritania. Journal t.b.d
Badjeck, M-C , et al. Dollars, Work and Food: Understanding dependency on the fisheries and aquaculture sector. To be submitted to Food Security.
Merino, G. et al. Trade offs between future ecosystems and the challenge of meeting food security targets for a growing population through aquaculture.
Barange M. et al., Climate Change impacts on marine fisheries production.
Conference presentations and posters:
Allen, J.I. 2010. Shelf Seas Ecosystems: Past , Present and Future states Invited Presentation. International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries:Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010.
Allison, E.H.2010. (Invited keynote speaker). Vulnerability of fishery systems and people to climate change: pathways of impact and adaptive response. Oceans and Climate Change – The scientific basis for meeting future challenges for coastal development and poverty reduction. Swedish International Development Agency Symposium, Stockholm, 12th October 2010
Allison, E.H. 2010. (Invited Keynote speaker) “ Drivers of change in fisheries: Climate in context” ICES/PICES International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries: Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies April 25 – 29, 2010 Sendai, Japan.
Allison, E.H. and Scholtens, J. 2010. (Invited workshop presentation) Social and economic indicators for ecosystem based fisheries management. IndiSeas II meetingUNESCO, Paris, France.29 November-2 December 2010.
Allison, E.H. 2009. (Invited Keynote presentation) “climate change impact on small scale fisheries”. 6th Scientific Symposium of the Western Indian Ocean Marine Science Association Université de La Réunion 24 - 29 August 2009.
Badjeck 2010. International Climate Change Adaptation Conference: Climate Adaptation Futures Preparing for the unavoidable impacts of climate change, June 2010. Brisbane, Australia. Oral
Badjeck M-C, Mendo T, Katikiro R, Flitner M., Diop N, Schwerdtner Máñez K, Arrieta Vela S.M. 2010. Looking ahead and adapting? Comparative analysis of future scenarios for the fisheries sectors in Peru, Senegal, Ghana and Mauritania. International Climate Change Adaptation Conference: Climate Adaptation Futures Preparing for the unavoidable impacts of climate change, 29 June - 1 July 2010 Brisbane, Australia.
Badjeck M-C and Mendo Aguilar Wosnitza T. 2010.Scenarios for the future: Drivers of change in the Peruvian fisheries sector. ICES/PICES International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries: Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies April 25 – 29, 2010 Sendai, Japan.
Barange, M., I.Allen, R. Holmes, G. Merino, J. Holt, J. Harle, N. Dulvy, J. Blanchard, S. Jennings, G. Pilling, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, B. Drakeford, C. Mullon, N. Adger 2008. Estimating climate change impacts on global fish production and additional vulnerabilities to human society. ICES 2008 ASC. Halifax, Canada. Invited Oral
Barange, M. 2008. Predicting the impacts and consequences of climate change on global fish production. QUEST ASC. Oral invited Barange, M. and the QUEST_Fish team 2008. Predicting the impacts and consequences of climate change on global fish production. International symposium “Coping with global change in marine social-ecological systems”. Rome, Italy. Oral
Barange, M., I. Allen, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, J. Blanchard, J. Harle, R. Holmes, J. Holt, S. Jennings, G. Merino, C. Mullon, E. Tompkins 2009. Predicting the impacts and socio-economic consequences of climate change on global marine ecosystems and fisheries: The QUEST_Fish approach. Workshop: Developing IMBER science in the UK. University of Plymouth, UK. Invited Oral
Barange, M., I Allen, R Holmes, G Merino, J Holt, J Harle, N Dulvy, J Blanchard, S Jennings, G Pilling, E Allison, M-C Badjeck, B Drakeford, C Mullon 2009. Predicting the impacts and consequences of climate change on global fish production: QUEST_Fish. FAO workshop on Climate Change. Rome, Italy. Oral
Barange, M., I. Allen, E. Allison, M.-C. Badjeck, J. Blanchard, J. Harle, R. Holmes, J. Holt, S. Jennings, G. Merino, C. Mullon, E. Tompkins 2009. Predicting the impacts and socio-economic consequences of climate change on global marine ecosystems and fisheries: The QUEST_Fish approach. PICES XVIII, Jeju, Korea. Invited oral
Barange, M. 2009. Out to dry? Global sustainability and the future of fisheries. QUEST ASC. Cotswolds, UK. Inited oral
Barange, M. and the QUEST_Fish team 2010. The marine environment and the ecological consequences of a business-as-usual scenario. Workshop: Past carbon isotopic events and future ecologies. Royal Geological Society, London. Invited oral
Barange, M. 2010. Learning to swim: exploring the challenges to marine resource sustainability. Roger Revelle Memorial Lecture, IOC UNESCO General Assembly, July 2010. Invited Oral
Barange M. 2011. Predicting the impacts and socio-economic consequences of climate change on global marine ecosystems and fisheries NansCLIM workshop. Cape Town, South Africa. Invited Oral
Blanchard J.L., Dulvy N.K., Holmes R., Barange M. & Jennings S. 2010. Potential climate change impacts on fish production from 20 large marine ecosystems around the world (P1-D1-6275). International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries:Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010. Oral Presentation.
Blanchard J.L., Jennings S., Holmes R, Dulvy N.K. & Barange, M. 2010. Potential climate change impacts on 20 large marine ecosystems around the world. Organised Oral Session on “Food webs and Climate Change” (Organisers: Dr Andrew Beckerman, University of Sheffield and Prof Oswald Schmitz, Yale University) at the 95th Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting. Pittsburgh, USA, 1-6 Aug. 2010. Invited Talk
Blanchard, J.L. 2010 Size-based indicators: are they useful for conservation and management of marine ecosystems? Thematic Topic: “On the synthesis of size- and species- based approaches in community and ecosystem ecology” (Organised by Law R & Blanchard JL), British Ecological Society Annual Science Meeting, University of Leeds, UK, 7 - 9 September 2010. Oral
Blanchard JL , Cheung W, Jennings S, Barange M. 2011. Predicting effects of climate change on global fisheries from food web and biogeography perspectives. 4th International SIZEMIC Science Meeting. Hamburg Germany, 13-15 April 2011. Invited Talk.
Harle, J., Holt, J., Allen, J.I., Holmes, R., Barange, M. 2010. QUEST Fish: Potential climate change impacts on the coastal/shelf seas. Business as usual? AIMES Open Science Conference 10-13 May 2010 - Edinburgh, UK. Oral
Holmes, R., James Harle, Icarus Allen, Jason Holt and Manuel Barange 2010. Predicting impacts of climate change on primary production in coastal-ocean regions International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries:Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010. Oral
Holt, J. James Harle, Icarus Allen, Robert Holmes, Manuel Barange 2009. Climate change effects on primary production in coastal and shelf seas. Oral presentation, GLOBEC 3rd Open Science Meeting, Victoria, Canada, 22-26 June 2009. Oral
Holt, J., James Harle, Rob Holmes, J. Icarus Allen 2010. Potential climate change impacts on contrasting shelf sea regions: atmospheric and oceanic impacts vs. tidal and seasonal constraints. Oral Presentation. International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries: Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010. Oral
Merino, G. Manuel Barange, Christian Mullon 2008. Modelling climate change effects on a global marine commodity. AMEMR, Plymouth (UK). Oral
Merino, G., Manuel Barange, Christian Mullon, Lynda Rodwell 2009. Modelling the potential impacts of aquaculture expansion and climate fluctuations on global reduction fisheries and fishemeal markets. PMSP Symposium, Plymouth (UK).
Merino, G., Manuel Barange, Christian Mullon, Rob Holmes, Julia Blanchard, Simon Jennings and Lynda Rodwell 2010. Generating Global Environmental Change scenarios for the world's small pelagic fisheries and global fishmeal and oil markets. International Symposium Climate Change Effects on Fish and Fisheries: Forecasting Impacts, Assessing Ecosystem Responses, and Evaluating Management Strategies. Sendai, Japan, April 25 – 29, 2010. Oral
Scholtens, Joeri and Badjeck, M-C. 2010. Dollars, Work and Food: Understanding dependency on the fisheries and aquaculture sector. IIFET 2010: Economics of fish resources and aquatic ecosystems: balancing uses, balancing costs. Le Corum Montpellier, France July 13-16, 2010.
Reports
Badjeck Marie-Caroline; Katikiro, Robert E.; Flitner, Michael; Diop, Ndiaga; Schwerdtner Máñez, Kathleen. 2010. Envisioning 2050: Climate Change, Aquaculture and Fisheries in West Africa. WorldFish Center Workshop Report 2125. The WorldFish Center, Penang, Malaysia. 28 pp (also available in French).
Kam S.P, Badjeck M-C, Teh L., Teh L., Bé Năm V.T, Hiền T.T, Huệ N.T, Phillips M., Pomeroy R. , Sinh L.X (2010). Economics of adaptation to climate change in Vietnam’s aquaculture sector: A case study. Report to the World Bank.
Badjeck M-C, Perry A. and Renn S. 2009. Global vulnerability of fishing-dependent economies to disasters. Report of the FAO project “Guidelines and best practice for fisheries and aquaculture sector damage and needs assessments in emergencies and development of tools for the identification of areas vulnerable to fishery and aquaculture emergencies”. The WorldFish Center, Penang.
Macfadayen, G. and E.H.Allison (2009) Climate change and trade competitiveness in the fisheries sector of small developing Commonwealth states. Commonwealth Secretariat, London, 50 pp.
Training
Gorka Merino, Manuel Barange, Christian Mullon, Lynda Rodwell 2009. Small pelagic fisheries, ecosystems, fishmeal, fish-oil and aquaculture. Advanced course in economic and ecological modeling drawing on the theory of networks economics. Sete (France), 2009.
Manuel Barange, Gorka Merino and Christian Mullon 2009. The Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change in Marine Systems (and some examples). NCAR Summer School - Marine Ecosystems and Climate: Modeling and Analysis of Observed Variability. August 2-14, 2009.
Christian Mullon, Gorka Merino, Manuel Barange. A role playing game was developed to understand the difficulties of managing common renewable resources. In the game regional fish stocks are traded in a globalized market where consumers demand two marine commodities: fishmeal and fish oil. Players are assigned particular roles (scientific advice, conservationist roles, economic investors, government officials, etc.) and make decisions in the absence of full information according to their own objectives. Over time players observe the dynamics of the global resources and assess how close they are to their initial objectives. The game is accessible through www.pml-globalpelagic.org.uk, although a password is required so that runs are logged for further analysis.